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Markets

Will Nigeria create new states before 2027?
26%
chance
YesNo
₦170.6 Vol.13 Feb

Will there be a federal cabinet reshuffle before year-end?
46%
chance
YesNo
₦447.7 Vol.26 Oct

Will Nigeria’s minimum wage rise above ₦100,000 in 2026?
30%
chance
YesNo
₦42.7 Vol.25 Nov

Who wins the 2028 Ghana presidential election?
- Mahama45%Yes45%
- Bawumia40%Yes40%
₦200.2 Vol.+1 more24 May

Will a major opposition coalition form before 2027?
55%
chance
YesNo
₦482.7 Vol.4 Apr

Who wins the 2027 Lagos governorship election?
- APC50%Yes50%
- Labour Party30%Yes30%
₦63.5 Vol.+1 more24 May

Will the 2027 general election hold in February?
70%
chance
YesNo
₦229.5 Vol.4 May

Will Bola Tinubu seek re-election in 2027?
78%
chance
YesNo
₦184.8 Vol.13 Feb

Who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election?
- Tinubu40%Yes40%
- Peter Obi30%Yes30%
₦76.1 Vol.+2 more24 May